Relevant Project Experience
Project Name: Ethiopia Logistics Reforms and Intervention Tasks
Date: September 2025 – Ongoing
Location: South Africa
Client: The World Bank (Stephen Muzira)
Description/Relevance: Determine what logistics investments are currently required in Ethiopia - for roads, railways, intermodal facilities, freight villages, and other consolidation points and logistics services - to inform multimodal service operations and dry port developments (i.e. required logistics investments. Furthermore, determine how Ethiopia’s institutions are positioned to deliver on logistics development and delivery (i.e. institutional analysis).
Project Name: Enhancing the Efficiency, Resilience, and Sustainability of the Central Corridor and Emerging Trade Routes in Tanzania
Date: September 2025 – Ongoing
Location: South Africa
Client: The World Bank (Nana Soetantri)
Description/Relevance: Pilot and institutionalize a Corridor Monitoring System on the Central Corridor; develop a transport demand model and projections, along with a methodology for assessing and prioritizing interventions to enhance efficiency and resilience; and a priority performance improvement plan.
Project Name: Botswana Freight Flow Modelling
Date: September 2025 – Ongoing
Location: South Africa
Client: The World Bank (Bernard Aritua)
Description/Relevance: Update Freight Flow model developed in 2016
Project Name: Mozambique Freight Flow Modelling
Date: September 2025 – Ongoing
Location: South Africa
Client: The World Bank (Bernard Aritua)
Description/Relevance: Freight flow analysis of multi-sector corridor infrastructure investments to maximise wider benefits and accessibility.
Project Name: Development of an Integrated Transport Management Plan (ITMP) for the Port of Cape Town
Date: April 2025 – Ongoing
Location: South Africa
Client: Transnet National Ports Authority (TNPA), an Operating Division of Transnet SOC LTD
Description/Relevance: Provided key inputs into the situational analysis; traffic modelling and scenario building through current and forecasted road and rail freight demand related to the Port of Cape Town, along with assistance with the EMME modelling; and provided key inputs related to areas of improvement, particularly through global benchmarking, current port performance analysis and identification of key improvement projects.
Project Name: Developing models for rail regulation in Africa
Date: February 2025 – Ongoing
Location: South Africa
Client: The World Bank (Bernard Aritua)
Description/Relevance: Co-authored a rail regulation paper for the 4th Florence Rail Regulation Conference
Project Name: Pathway to Integrated Surface Transport and Logistics Regulation in South Africa
Date: February 2024 – Ongoing
Location: South Africa
Client: The World Bank (Bernard Aritua)
Description/Relevance: Co-authored a rail regulation paper for the 3rd Florence Rail Regulation Conference
Project Name: DOT/11/2023/RT – The Development and Maintenance of the National Rail Master Plan
Date: December 2023 – Ongoing
Location: South Africa
Client: The Department of Transport (Jan-David de Villiers)
Description/Relevance: Provide freight demand modelling and contribute to the development of the National Rail Master Plan.
Project Name: Supply Chain Resilience in Africa
Date: May 2022 – Ongoing
Location: Africa
Client: The World Bank (Bernard Aritua)
Description/Relevance: Developed a report to highlight the importance of Supply Chain Resilience in Africa. This was done by presenting global shocks and their impacts to contextualise the unique challenges that are felt by the African continent. Those challenges illustrated why increased resilience of supply chains is needed to respond to the threat of potential shocks and the impact of those that have already occurred. To understand the supply chain’s role in responding to these shocks, the report clarifies the difference between supply chains and value chains, along with what is meant by supply chain resilience and the trade-offs and strategies that are required to ensure it. The report utilised a specific methodology to select countries for further analysis based on their expected level of exposure to supply chain shocks. To that end, the economic density (internal view) and trade openness (external view) were used to classify each country according to level of exposure to shocks. Supply chain shocks were also classified to enable assessment of the influence a country’s economic density and trade openness has on certain shock exposures. A specific framework was developed and applied to each of the selected countries to assess their macrologistics flows and cost and analyse their macrologistics components to identify gaps and weaknesses that may lead to increased exposure to shocks and supply chain vulnerability. Ultimately, the result of the analysis was used to propose policy recommendations to increase the resilience of the select countries’ supply chains and identify possible improvement strategies for the rest of the continent.
Project Name: Ethiopia Freight Flow Modelling
Date: April 2022 – Ongoing
Location: Ethiopia
Client: The World Bank (Benard Aritua)
Description/Relevance: A freight demand model was needed to inform infrastructure investments.
Project Name: The Development of the Western Cape 2023/24 – 2027/28 Provincial Land Transport Framework (PLTF)
Date: March 2022 – Ongoing
Location: Cape Town
Client: Western Cape Mobility Department (Yongama Ndungane)
Description/Relevance: Development of chapters on Freight Strategy and Land, Maritime and Aviation Transport Strategy.
Project Name: MENA (Middle East and North Africa) Freight Flow Modelling
Date: February 2021 – Ongoing
Location: MENA
Client: The World Bank
Description/Relevance: A freight demand model was needed to inform infrastructure investments.
Project Name: Developing a freight demand model for South Sudan
Date: February 2021 – Ongoing
Location: South Sudan
Client: The World Bank (Bernard Aritua)
Description/Relevance: A freight demand model was needed to inform infrastructure investments.
Project Name: Developing a freight demand model for Sudan
Date: February 2021 – Ongoing
Location: South Sudan
Client: The World Bank (Bernard Aritua)
Description/Relevance: A freight demand model was needed to inform infrastructure investments.
Project Name: Developing a regional freight demand model for the Horn of Africa
Date: February 2021 – Ongoing
Location: Horn of Africa region
Client: The World Bank (Bernard Aritua)
Description/Relevance: A freight demand model was needed to inform infrastructure investments.
Project Name: Western Cape Freight Demand Model (WC FDM)
Date: February 2021 – Ongoing
Location: Cape Town
Client: Western Cape Mobility Department (Corrine Gallant)
Description/Relevance: The government of the Western Cape requires a freight flow model and 30-year forecast module to inform transport strategy, policy and infrastructure development. The GAIN team gathered the data, developed the model and provided evidenced based inputs into strategy development, performance criteria development and industry coordination.
Project Name: Regional Freight Demand Model (Sub-Saharan Africa)
Date: February 2021 – Ongoing (Updated Annually)
Location: South Africa
Client: Initially Transnet, now GAIN Group (Pty) Ltd
Description/Relevance: Transnet is South Africa’s port, rail and pipeline infrastructure owner and operator, but has major business interests in all 17 countries of Sub-Saharan Africa. A flow model was required that measures all flows in the region to inform the business’ strategy. GAIN team gathered the data, developed the model and provided detailed flows and costs as well as a 20 year forecast.
Project Name: Transport Externality Cost Model
Date: February 2021 – Ongoing (Updated Annually)
Location: South Africa
Client: Initially Transnet, now GAIN Group (Pty) Ltd
Description/Relevance: The Transport Externality Cost Model quantifies the localised external costs associated with freight logistics in South Africa. Six costs elements are included under externality costs, they are costs related to accidents, emissions, roadway land usage, policing, noise and congestion.
Project Name: Freight Demand Model (FDM™) for South Africa
Date: 2021 – Ongoing (Updated Annually)
Location: South Africa
Client: Various, initially Transnet, now the Department of Transport (Jan-David de Villiers)
Description/Relevance: South Africa’s national railway operator, Transnet, required a highly detailed flow model and forecast component to inform substantial investments over the years, strategic discussions, positioning negotiations and spatial planning. This model provided detailed origin destination freight movements per commodity. GAIN team gathered the data, developed the model and updates it annually. It has a forecast component and GAIN continually assists in deploying the data and insights in all of the areas where it is used.
Project Name: Logistics Cost Model
Date: 2021 – Ongoing (Updated Annually)
Location: South Africa
Client: Initially CSIR (State of Logistics), Logistics Barometer and GAIN (Pty) Ltd
Description/Relevance: The Logistics Cost Model measures all costs on all modes together with ancillary logistics expenditures such as warehousing, management and administration and inventory carrying costs for South Africa.
Project Name: Annual State of Safety Report
Date: February 2021 – December 2024 (Updated Annually)
Location: South Africa
Client: Rail Safety Regulator (RSR) (Kenny Makgati)
Description/Relevance: Provided data analysis and trend identification on historic data on the recorded railway occurrences and security-related incidents, risk profiling for freight, commuter and passenger operations in South Africa, graphic display (graphs, tables and figures) of results and analysis using modern tools, and GIS Mapping and display of corridor analysis results. Producing the Annual State of Safety Report.
Project Name: Roadmap for the Freight Logistics System in South Africa
Date: March 2023 – December 2023
Location: South Africa
Client: Republic of South Africa (Irvin Naidoo)
Description/Relevance: Contributed to the development of the roadmap.
Project Name: Business Leadership South Africa and Gordon Institute of Business Science State of Enterprises (SOE) Report 2022
Date: September 2022 – December 2023
Location: South Africa
Client: Gordon Institute of Business Science (GIBS) (Francois Fouche & Adrian Saville)
Description/Relevance: Provided chapters on the impact of Transnet on the South African economy.
Project Name: Belcon/Kraaicon Prefeasibility Study
Date: January 2022 – July 2022
Location: Cape Town
Client: Zutari, City of Cape Town (Ian Scott)
Description/Relevance: Provided professional Freight Modelling, Logistics and Operations input in connection to the Belcon/Kraaicon Prefeasibility Study.
Project Name: Western Cape Freight Demand Model (WC FDM™) – Enhancement for Port of Cape Town
Date: January 2022 – June 2022
Location: Cape Town
Client: Western Cape Department of Economic Development and Tourism (Glen Steyn)
Description/Relevance: The objective of this project was to enhance the Western Cape Freight Demand Model (WC FDM™) to serve as an integrated evidence base for the short - to medium-term capacity planning and implementation of interventions. These interventions are to improve efficiency in the Port of Cape Town container cargo logistics chain and facilitate appropriate service level capacity development for the anticipated growth in exports from the Western Cape.
Project Name: National Infrastructure Plan (NIP) for South Africa - 2050
Date: May 2021 – December 2021
Location: South Africa
Client: Department of Public Works/Presidency
Description/Relevance: The NIP is developing an infrastructure revival plan in key economic sectors for South Africa.
Project Name: A proposed freight and passenger road-to-rail strategy for South Africa
Date: March 2021 – November 2021
Location: South Africa
Client: Presidency, Treasury of South Africa, United Nations University (UNU-WIDER) (Mahesh Fakir)
Description/Relevance: A cornerstone of rail improvement in South Africa required the development of a road-to-rail strategy for both freight and passengers. The delivered report proposes road-to-rail strategies for both freight and passengers to assist identifying key next steps to facilitate rail improvement. A succinct overview of major shifts since the 1980s in the structure of the state-owned entities involved in rail freight and passenger transport is provided for context. The report focuses on the development of proposed road-to-rail strategies, with a discussion on cross-cutting issues that need to be addressed by government to ensure successful implementation of the strategies. Many issues have been on the agenda for five decades — South Africa’s government needs to act decisively to avoid the collapse of foundational economic infrastructure that will be extremely difficult and costly to repair beyond a tipping point of collapse.
Project Name: Container Demand Forecasting Model
Date: 2021
Location: South Africa
Client: Transnet Group Planning
Description/Relevance: Conceptualized a 30-year forecast model for the national movement of standard shipping containers.
Project Name: Development of a model to assess economic losses to Mozambique from poor trade facilitation along the major trade corridors
Date: March 2021
Location: Mozambique
Client: STC-NESTRA
Role: Research and analysis support
Description/Relevance: Corridor cost analyses.
Project Name: Identify possible natural locations for truck stops
Date: August 2020 – December 2020
Location: South Africa
Client: Truck Stop Africa
Description/Relevance: Mining and applying data from the Freight Demand Model (FDM™) and
National Freight Flow Model (NFFM) to identify possible natural locations for trucks stops in South Africa.
Project Name: Logistics Sector Studies
Date: November 2019 – July 2020
Location: Netherlands
Client: Royal Netherlands Embassy
Description/Relevance: This document summarises the results of an investigation into opportunities for Dutch companies to do business in South Africa. It is based on a review of knowledge of the sector, as well as interviews with Dutch and South African stakeholders. The study focused on industry-level interviews to gain the best possible perspective within the scope and time frame of the project. While it does not outline firm-to-firm opportunities, the study summarises needs in the logistics sector as expressed by South African stakeholders, as well as opportunities or current initiatives identified by Dutch role players.
Project Name: Logistics Governance Scoping Project – West Bengal, India
Date: 2019
Location: Kolkata, India
Client: Government of West Bengal (The World Bank)
Description/Relevance: Scoping project for the development of a logistics strategy for the province of West Bengal.
Project Name: Freight Flow Modelling and Infrastructure Analysis of Mongolia
Date: 2019 – 2020
Location: Ulaanbaatar
Client: The World Bank
Description/Relevance: Developed a freight flow model for Mongolia and identify infrastructure gaps for funding.
Project Name: Freight Flow Modeling and Policy Analysis of Uzbekistan
Date: 2019
Location: Tashkent
Client: The World Bank
Description/Relevance: Developed a freight flow model for Uzbekistan and policy recommendations development.
Project Name: Freight Flow Modeling and City Logistics Analysis for Kolkata
Date: January 2018 – April 2019
Location: Kolkata
Client: The World Bank
Description/Relevance: A freight flow model for Kolkata was required to identify demand and flow and enable the development of strategies to alleviate congestion in the greater Kolkata area. GAIN team designed the study, developed the model and provide modelled outputs into various strategic interventions that were proposed such as strategy development, barge traffic and ro-ro vessel solutions.
Project Name: “The Future of Rail” Analysis and Publication of The Global Future of Rail
Date: 2018 – 2019
Location: Paris
Client: International Energy Agency
Description/Relevance: Deep analysis of the future of rail around the world and energy reduction and decarbonisation potential.
Project Name: Developing the India Freight Demand Model
Date: January 2016 – April 2018
Location: Delhi and Kolkata
Client: The World Bank
Description/Relevance: The World Bank required a freight flow model for India to inform infrastructure investment decisions. GAIN team gathered the data and developed the model. Various inputs into many projects in India were provided, based on the modelled outputs over the years, including projects along the Eastern Corridor, the Waterways, Highways and DFC.
Project Name: Timber Project
Date: 2015
Location: Stellenbosch
Client: Kuhne Logistics University
Description/Relevance: Application of McKinnon and Piecyk’s Timber framework on South Africa to determine the influence of external factors on the decarbonisation of logistics.
Project Name: The Development of the Western Cape 2016/17 – 2020/21 Provincial Land Transport Framework (PLTF)
Date: 2015
Location: Cape Town
Client: Western Cape Government
Description/Relevance: Freight strategy development for the Western Cape.
Project Name: Market Analysis of The South African Transport and Logistics Sector
Date: 2014
Location: Cape Town
Client: Royal Netherlands Embassy
Description/Relevance: Identifying market opportunities for Dutch companies in the transport and logistics sector knowledge.
Project Name: National Port Plan
Date: 2014
Location: South Africa
Client: WPS Group Africa (Pty) Ltd
Description/Relevance: The team provided inputs into the development of the National Port Plan.
Project Name: SACU Trade and Transport Facilitation Assessment
Date: 2014
Location: Windhoek
Client: The World Bank
Description/Relevance: The study identified opportunities to improve the performance of exports in the SACU region, with a particular emphasis on improving the cross-border trade facilitation transport, and logistics environment to support the development of competitive regional value chains.
Project Name: Agricultural Dry-Bulk Study
Date: 2014
Location: South Africa
Client: Transnet Commercial
Description/Relevance: Analysis of the status-quo and forecast of the agricultural dry-bulk industry (specifically maize and wheat).
Project Name: Container Demand Forecasting Model
Date: 2014, 2019, 2021
Location: South Africa
Client: Transnet Group Planning
Description/Relevance: This project conceptualized a 30-year forecast model for the national movement of standard shipping containers.
Project Name: Logistics Costs Assessment for the Western Cape
Date: 2013 – 2014
Location: Cape Town
Client: Western Cape Government
Description/Relevance: Development of a logistics cost model for the Western Cape – relevant for extended freight flow modelling to include costs.
Project Name: Port Pricing Analysis
Date: 2013
Location: South Africa
Client: Transnet Ports
Description/Relevance: Analysis determining the impact that cargo dues on specific commodity supply chains.
Project Name: Coega Position Paper
Date: 2012
Location: Gauteng
Client: Transnet
Description/Relevance: Develop a position paper evaluating the potential of the Port of Coega become a formidable global transhipment hub in the Southern African region.
Project Name: Botswana Rail Market Demand and Freight Flow Model
Date: 2012, 2017
Location: Gaborone
Client: Botswana Rail
Description/Relevance: Understanding all freight flows in Botswana and what is rail addressable, Developed a freight flow model for Botswana.
Project Name: Bellville Container Depot Viability and Sustainability Study
Date: 2012
Location: Bellville
Client: Transnet
Description/Relevance: The study determined if the Bellville Container Depot (Belcon) facility was
sustainable and viable from a spatial point of view on the current site in the Bellville Precinct.
Project Name: Determination of Road Tariffs for The Transportation of Fuel from Durban To Gauteng
Date: 2012
Location: South Africa
Client: Transnet
Description/Relevance: The study focused on petrol and diesel transportation on the Durban – Gauteng corridor.
Project Name: Emissions Tax Impact Study
Date: 2012
Location: Gauteng
Client: Road Freight Association
Description/Relevance: Cost impact of emissions tax calculation.
Project Name: Logistics Costs Study
Date: 2012
Location: Gauteng
Client: Gauteng Government
Description/Relevance: Provincial Logistics Cost study – relevant for translating freight flow knowledge into costs scenarios.
Project Name: Study of the Port of Ngqura as a Transhipment Hub
Date: 2012
Location: Nqgura
Client: Transnet Port Authority
Description/Relevance: Port Strategy
Project Name: Logistics costs study for South Africa
Date: 2010 - 2011
Location: Pretoria
Client: Department of Transport
Description/Relevance: In depth analysis of national logistics costs for South Africa.
Project Name: Development of a Trade Supply Chain Business Case for South Africa
Date: 2011
Location: Gauteng
Client: Cross Border Road Agency
Description/Relevance: Developing a business case for improved border management
Project Name: National Corridor Performance Management System - South Africa
Date: 2010
Location: South Africa
Client: Department of Public Enterprises
Description/Relevance: The system is a performance measurement system that was develop for seven corridors in South Africa. It measures a range of operational, infrastructure and policy indicators aimed at improving the efficiency, cost and throughput of South Africa’s major transport corridors.
Project Name: Rail Freight Positioning Research Project
Date: 2009 – 2010
Location: Gauteng
Client: Transnet
Description/Relevance: Development of a rail position paper as an input in the South African rail policy debate.
Project Name: Interaction Between Logistics and Trade Facilitation Case Study for South Africa
Date: 2009
Location: Stellenbosch
Client: The World Bank
Description/Relevance: Researching the link between trade and logistics policy.
Project Name: Evaluating the Effect of Transnet Capital Investments on the Economy
Date: 2009
Location: Pretoria
Client: Department of Public Enterprises
Description/Relevance: Modelling direct and indirect effects of Transnet’s investments.
Project Name: Supply Chain Audit
Date: 2009
Location: Stellenbosch
Client: Western Cape Citrus Producers Forum
Description/Relevance: Citrus industry response to USA import requirement changes.
Project Name: Freight Flow Modeling and Forecast for Zambia
Date: 2008
Location: Lusaka
Client: Supergroup
Description/Relevance: Developed a freight flow model for Zambia and modelled the effect of proposed interventions to alleviate congestion.
Project Name: Port Economic Decision-Making Framework: Freight Flows and Risk
Date: 2008
Location: Durban
Client: Durban Municipality
Description/Relevance: Scenario development for port development options of ports in Kwazulu-Natal.
Project Name: Analysis of The Freight Sector of The Western Cape
Date: 2008
Location: Cape Town
Client: CSIR
Description/Relevance: Freight industry analysis
Project Name: Human Sciences Research Council Skills Survey
Date: 2007
Location: South Africa
Client: HSRC
Description/Relevance: Detailed analysis of all skills gaps in South Africa’s transport sector.
Project Name: Agrilogistics Strategy for South Africa
Date: 2005
Location: Pretoria
Client: National Department of Agriculture
Description/Relevance: Complete analysis of the agricultural logistics landscape of South Africa.
Project Name: National Freight Flow Model
Date: 2004 – 2014 (Updated Annually)
Location: South Africa
Client: Initially CSIR
Description/Relevance: The National Freight Flow Model is a supply side based on truck and train movements that was developed in 2004 and updated annually.
Project Name: National Freight Logistics Strategy for South Africa
Date: 2004 – 2005
Location: Pretoria
Client: CSIR
Description/Relevance: Provided freight flow analysis input.
Project Name: Development of a Fruit Logistics Flow Forecast Demand Model for South Africa
Date: 2004
Location: Stellenbosch
Client: CSIR
Description/Relevance: Sectoral freight flow model development and 20-year forecast.
Project Name: Assessment of The Customer Orientation of Transnet’s Online B2B Platform
Date: 2003 – 2004
Location: Gauteng
Client: Transnet
Description/Relevance: Positioning analysis of Transnet’s online business platforms.
Project Name: Logistics Channel Assessment
Date: 2003
Location: Cape Town
Client: Distell
Description/Relevance: Assessing the logistics competency of a large beverages company.
Project Name: Fruit sector logistics competency of South Africa
Date: 2003
Location: Bellville
Client: Capespan
Description/Relevance: Assessing all fruit logistics in South Africa.
Project Name: Moving South Africa Project for South Africa
Date: 1997 - 1998
Location: South Africa
Client: Department of Transport (South Africa)
Description/Relevance: South Arica’s first comprehensive national strategy.
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